User contributions for 3316950
From Fintech Lab Wiki
31 October 2026
- 15:5115:51, 31 October 2026 diff hist +151,764 N Prediction Markets Created page with "Contribution of Szofi Varga = Introduction = In 2008 twenty-two scholars, most of them economists and among them Kenneth Arrow, Thomas Schelling, Vernon Smith and Robert Shiller, published a short policy statement in ''Science'' arguing that US regulators should remove the legal barriers to prediction markets (Arrow et al. 2008). Prediction markets, in their definition, are venues for trading contracts whose payoffs depend on the outcome of uncertain events. A contract..." current
- 15:5115:51, 31 October 2026 diff hist +105 N File:Prediction markets order lifecycle.png No edit summary current
21 April 2026
- 13:5113:51, 21 April 2026 diff hist +917 N File:Applying Breeden-Litzenberger to swaption prices.pdf This project applies the logic of Breeden-Litzenberger to extract conditional densities from swaption prices around important FOMC decisions. The data was extracted from Bloomberg, and contains the normal implied volatilites of +-200bps ATM for 3 month - current
