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• 18:04, 3 November 2026 3316950 talk contribs created page File:Prediction markets order lifecycle.png
• 18:04, 3 November 2026 3316950 talk contribs created page Prediction Markets (Created page with "Contribution of Szofi Varga = Introduction = In 2008 twenty-two scholars, most of them economists and among them Kenneth Arrow, Thomas Schelling, Vernon Smith and Robert Shiller, published a short policy statement in ''Science'' arguing that US regulators should remove the legal barriers to prediction markets (Arrow et al. 2008). Prediction markets, in their definition, are venues for trading contracts whose payoffs depend on the outcome of uncertain events. A contract...")
• 18:04, 3 November 2026 3316950 talk contribs uploaded File:Prediction markets order lifecycle.png
• 00:38, 25 April 2026 3316950 talk contribs created page File:Applying Breeden-Litzenberger to swaption prices.pdf (This project applies the logic of Breeden-Litzenberger to extract conditional densities from swaption prices around important FOMC decisions. The data was extracted from Bloomberg, and contains the normal implied volatilites of +-200bps ATM for 3 month -)
• 00:38, 25 April 2026 3316950 talk contribs uploaded File:Applying Breeden-Litzenberger to swaption prices.pdf (This project applies the logic of Breeden-Litzenberger to extract conditional densities from swaption prices around important FOMC decisions. The data was extracted from Bloomberg, and contains the normal implied volatilites of +-200bps ATM for 3 month -)
• 19:28, 5 March 2026 User account 3316950 talk contribs was created automatically